Ismail Naurdiev vs Marco Tulio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-0Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievMarco Tulio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Tulio56%
Ismail Naurdiev 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 56% favorite over Ismail Naurdiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1672), separated by just 3 points.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.