Ismail Naurdiev vs Michel Prazeres
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-0Record27-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'6"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamCoalizao Fight Team
What's at stake
Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ismail Naurdiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1684
If they lose-9→ 1660
If they win+9→ 1768
If they lose-15→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievMichel Prazeres
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michel Prazeres51%
Ismail Naurdiev 49%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Michel Prazeres a 51% favorite over Ismail Naurdiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1669, a 90-point edge.
Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.