Combat Edge Intelligence

Ismail Naurdiev vs Michel Prazeres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ismail Naurdiev
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Ismail Naurdiev

“The Austrian Wonderboy”

25-8-0WelterweightUFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

25-8-0Record27-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'6"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ismail Naurdiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ismail NaurdievNow 1666
If they win+15→ 1681
If they lose-9→ 1657
Michel PrazeresNow 1758
If they win+9→ 1767
If they lose-15→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
53%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
65%
Strike defense
58%
1.48
Takedown avg.
3.94
41%
Takedown accuracy
36%
73%
Takedown defense
48%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Ismail NaurdievMichel Prazeres
16501700175018002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (52%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
6 (24%)
Submission
11 (41%)
6 (24%)
Decision
15 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Ismail Naurdiev52%
Michel Prazeres 48%Elo baseline: 37%

The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 52% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Prazeres's way (37%).

Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1666, a 92-point edge.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.