Combat Edge Intelligence

Ismail Naurdiev vs Sean Brady

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ismail Naurdiev
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Ismail Naurdiev

“The Austrian Wonderboy”

25-8-0WelterweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

25-8-0Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamRenzo Gracie Philly

What's at stake

Sean Brady is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ismail Naurdiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ismail NaurdievNow 1664
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-7→ 1657
Sean BradyNow 1807
If they win+10→ 1817
If they lose-22→ 1785

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
53%
Strike accuracy
55%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
65%
Strike defense
59%
1.48
Takedown avg.
3.53
41%
Takedown accuracy
53%
73%
Takedown defense
87%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.91

Trajectory

Ismail NaurdievSean Brady
16501700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (52%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
6 (24%)
Submission
6 (32%)
6 (24%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Brady73%
Ismail Naurdiev 27%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Brady a 73% favorite over Ismail Naurdiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Sean Brady holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1807 to 1664, a 143-point edge.

Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.

Ismail Naurdiev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.