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Combat Edge Intelligence

Israel Adesanya vs Sharapudin Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-6-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'4"Height5'7"
80"Reach-
185 lbsWeight147 lbs
City KickboxingTeamGorets Fight Club· 1720 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Israel Adesanya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Sharapudin Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Israel AdesanyaNow 1761
If they win+8→ 1769
If they lose-16→ 1745
Sharapudin MagomedovNow 1648
If they win+32→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.02
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0.05
Takedown avg.
Not available
11%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.14
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Israel AdesanyaSharapudin Magomedov
16501700175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
8 (33%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Israel Adesanya87%
Sharapudin Magomedov 13%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Israel Adesanya a 87% favorite over Sharapudin Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Israel Adesanya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1648, a 113-point edge.

Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Sharapudin Magomedov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Israel Adesanya finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sharapudin Magomedov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.