Combat Edge Intelligence

Istela Nunes vs Jaida Harshman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record1-1-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'2"
66"Reach-
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team NunesTeamIronworks Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485
Jaida HarshmanNow 1497
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Istela NunesJaida Harshman
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jaida Harshman72%
Istela Nunes 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jaida Harshman a 72% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Istela Nunes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1497), separated by just 4 points.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.