Istela Nunes vs Yazmin Jauregui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record11-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
66"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team NunesTeamEntram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
Yazmin Jauregui is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Istela Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1524
If they lose-9→ 1492
If they win+9→ 1683
If they lose-23→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Istela NunesYazmin Jauregui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yazmin Jauregui84%
Istela Nunes 16%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Yazmin Jauregui a 84% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Yazmin Jauregui holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1501, a 173-point edge.
Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Yazmin Jauregui 64%.
Istela Nunes and Yazmin Jauregui share 1 common opponent: Sam Hughes.
Istela Nunes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.