Combat Edge Intelligence

Iuri Alcantara vs Urijah Faber

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Urijah Faber
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Urijah Faber

“The California Kid”

35-11-0BantamweightUFC

1777Great

Tale of the tape

35-11-0Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
71,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Urijah Faber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Iuri Alcantara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iuri AlcantaraNow 1698
If they win+15→ 1713
If they lose-9→ 1689
Urijah FaberNow 1777
If they win+9→ 1786
If they lose-15→ 1762

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
49%
Strike defense
64%
1.44
Takedown avg.
1.54
63%
Takedown accuracy
30%
60%
Takedown defense
58%
0.84
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Iuri AlcantaraUrijah Faber
170017501800201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

14 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (29%)
14 (40%)
Submission
17 (50%)
7 (20%)
Decision
7 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Urijah Faber67%
Iuri Alcantara 33%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Urijah Faber a 67% favorite over Iuri Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Urijah Faber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1698, a 79-point edge.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Iuri Alcantara finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.

Iuri Alcantara and Urijah Faber share 3 common opponents: Brad Pickett, Jimmie Rivera and Frankie Saenz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinSUB · 2016
Brad Pickett
WinDEC · 2016
LossDEC · 2016
Jimmie Rivera
LossDEC · 2016
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2015
Frankie Saenz
WinDEC · 2015