Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Erslan vs Jimmy Crute

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jimmy Crute
au

Jimmy Crute

“The Brute”

14-4-2Light HeavyweightUFC

1706 Good

Tale of the tape

15-6-0 Record 14-4-2
Light Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'2" Height 6'2"
72" Reach 74"
206 lbs Weight 205 lbs
American Top Team Zagreb Team Stewie's House of BJJ

What's at stake

Jimmy Crute is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ivan Erslan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ivan ErslanNow 1605
If they win+21→ 1626
If they lose-11→ 1594
Jimmy CruteNow 1706
If they win+11→ 1717
If they lose-21→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

2.55
Sig. strikes / min
4.15
46%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.01
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.65
54%
Strike defense
42%
0.45
Takedown avg.
4.39
20%
Takedown accuracy
52%
62%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
2.01

Trajectory

Ivan Erslan Jimmy Crute
1600 1650 1700 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (43%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jimmy Crute76%
Ivan Erslan24%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Jimmy Crute a 76% favorite over Ivan Erslan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Jimmy Crute holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1605, a 101-point edge.

Jimmy Crute enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jimmy Crute 79%.

Jimmy Crute carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.