Ivan Erslan vs Jimmy Crute
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record14-4-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
72"Reach74"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Jimmy Crute is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ivan Erslan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1593
If they win+11→ 1717
If they lose-21→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ErslanJimmy Crute
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jimmy Crute75%
Ivan Erslan 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Jimmy Crute a 75% favorite over Ivan Erslan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Jimmy Crute holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1604, a 102-point edge.
Jimmy Crute enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jimmy Crute 79%.
Jimmy Crute carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.