Ivan Erslan vs Justin Ledet
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record9-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
72"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team ZagrebTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ErslanJustin Ledet
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Erslan66%
Justin Ledet 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Erslan a 66% favorite over Justin Ledet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1602), separated by just 3 points.
Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Justin Ledet 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.