Ivan Erslan vs Miran Fabjan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record8-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
72"Reach-
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team Zagreb· 1615 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamYaksha Combat Team
What's at stake
Miran Fabjan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ivan Erslan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
If they win+15→ 1629
If they lose-17→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ErslanMiran Fabjan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Erslan60%
Miran Fabjan 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Erslan a 60% favorite over Miran Fabjan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miran Fabjan's way (48%).
Miran Fabjan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1598, a 16-point edge.
Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Miran Fabjan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.