Ivan Erslan vs Tuco Tokkos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
72"Reach76"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team ZagrebTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1619
If they lose-17→ 1587
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-15→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ErslanTuco Tokkos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ivan Erslan and Tuco Tokkos within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1592), separated by just 12 points.
Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.
Ivan Erslan and Tuco Tokkos share 1 common opponent: Navajo Stirling.
Tuco Tokkos carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.