Ivan Erslan vs Tuco Tokkos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
72"Reach76"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team Zagreb· 1618 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ErslanTuco Tokkos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Erslan60%
Tuco Tokkos 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Erslan a 60% favorite over Tuco Tokkos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1594), separated by just 4 points.
Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.
Ivan Erslan and Tuco Tokkos share 1 common opponent: Navajo Stirling.
Tuco Tokkos carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.