Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Erslan vs William Knight

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
72"Reach 73"
206 lbsWeight245 lbs
American Top Team ZagrebTeamThornton Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ivan ErslanNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
William KnightNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.62
46%
Strike accuracy
57%
5.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
54%
Strike defense
36%
0.45
Takedown avg.
1.78
20%
Takedown accuracy
41%
62%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Ivan ErslanWilliam Knight
160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
9 (82%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Ivan Erslan66%
William Knight 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Erslan a 66% favorite over William Knight in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1599), separated by just 6 points.

William Knight enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, William Knight 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.