Ivan Gnizditskiy vs Uran Satybaldiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-0-0Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Uran Satybaldiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ivan Gnizditskiy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1670
If they lose-21→ 1622
If they win+14→ 1700
If they lose-18→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan GnizditskiyUran Satybaldiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Uran Satybaldiev61%
Ivan Gnizditskiy 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Uran Satybaldiev a 61% favorite over Ivan Gnizditskiy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Uran Satybaldiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1643, a 43-point edge.
Ivan Gnizditskiy enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ivan Gnizditskiy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.