Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy

Dec 5, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateDec 5, 2026

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueANB Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 5, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 2:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 3:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 AM
Your time

Uran SatybaldievGorilla |9-1-0Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan GnizditskiyIvan GnizditskiySamurai |7-0-0

Uran SatybaldievGorilla9-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

9-1-0Record7-0-0

32Age30

6'4"Height6'1"

79"Reach-

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Ivan GnizditskiySamurai7-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Uran Satybaldiev owns a 43-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Uran Satybaldiev and Ivan Gnizditskiy across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Uran SatybaldievIvan Gnizditskiy

Recent form

Uran SatybaldievW L W W W · +51 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Ivan GnizditskiyW W W W W · +114 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Uran Satybaldiev1686+21 last move

Ivan Gnizditskiy1643+17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Uran Satybaldiev#41 of 185 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1686 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Khusnidin Tursunaliev (rated 1500 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Martin Buday (rated 1716 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +51 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #40 Simeon Powell, 2 ahead of #42 Philipe Lins.

Ivan Gnizditskiy#72 of 185 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1643 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ce Liu (rated 1555 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +114 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #71 Ion Cutelaba, 3 ahead of #73 Felipe Franco.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1505 Elo over the last 6 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Uran SatybaldievNow 1686 · #41 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1700

Loses by decision-18→ 1668

Ivan GnizditskiyNow 1643 · #72 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+27→ 1670

Loses by decision-21→ 1622

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

PremiumRun the what-if simulator

Pick the winner and the method to see both fighters' new ratings, new division ranks and who they'd pass.

Go Premium to run itZero ads included · from $5/mo

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Uran SatybaldievvsIvan Gnizditskiy

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Uran SatybaldievKO/TKO leads 56% of wins

Ivan GnizditskiyKO/TKO leads 86% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Uran SatybaldievIvan Gnizditskiy

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.14Sig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

25Sig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

3.66Sig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.71

45Sig. strike defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

0Takedown averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.46

0Takedown accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

50Takedown defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

1.69Submission averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

5Wins by knockout6

2Wins by submission1

2Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ADESANYA VS MAGOMEDOV. Uran Satybaldiev enters with a 9-1-0 record and Ivan Gnizditskiy enters with a 7-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.