Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record7-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
73"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
Aligatores Fight ClubTeamNTG Fight & Fitness
What's at stake
Iwo Baraniewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Junior Tafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1730
If they lose-34→ 1682
If they win+23→ 1585
If they lose-9→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Iwo BaraniewskiJunior Tafa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski81%
Junior Tafa 19%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 81% favorite over Junior Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Iwo Baraniewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1562, a 154-point edge.
Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Iwo Baraniewski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Junior Tafa 100%.
Junior Tafa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.