Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record7-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
73"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
What's at stake
Iwo Baraniewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Junior Tafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1706
If they lose-22→ 1674
If they win+22→ 1586
If they lose-10→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Iwo BaraniewskiJunior Tafa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski67%
Junior Tafa 33%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 67% favorite over Junior Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Iwo Baraniewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1564, a 132-point edge.
Iwo Baraniewski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Junior Tafa 100%.
Junior Tafa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.