Jéssica Andrade vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-15-0Record16-10-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
62"Reach 64"
125 lbsWeight116 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jéssica Andrade is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Karolina Kowalkiewicz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1672
If they lose-13→ 1648
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jéssica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jéssica Andrade66%
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jéssica Andrade a 66% favorite over Karolina Kowalkiewicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jéssica Andrade holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1631, a 30-point edge.
Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 25%.
Jéssica Andrade and Karolina Kowalkiewicz share 1 common opponent: Xiaonan Yan.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.