Combat Edge Intelligence

Jéssica Andrade vs Katlyn Cerminara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-15-0Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'9"
62"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamTeam Renzo Gracie

What's at stake

Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jéssica Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-10→ 1651
Katlyn CerminaraNow 1713
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.39
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
50%
Strike accuracy
35%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.48
54%
Strike defense
62%
2.21
Takedown avg.
0.31
55%
Takedown accuracy
16%
72%
Takedown defense
50%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jéssica AndradeKatlyn Cerminara
1650170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
8 (31%)
Submission
1 (6%)
8 (31%)
Decision
15 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Katlyn Cerminara64%
Jéssica Andrade 36%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 64% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1661, a 52-point edge.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.