J.P. Saint Louis vs Oualy Tandia
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Oualy Tandia68%
J.P. Saint Louis 32%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Oualy Tandia a 68% favorite over J.P. Saint Louis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Oualy Tandia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1597, a 49-point edge.
Oualy Tandia enters on a 6-fight win streak.
J.P. Saint Louis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Oualy Tandia 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record6-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fusion X-Cel Performance· 1619 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamUS Metro Bizot· 1553 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Oualy Tandia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — J.P. Saint Louis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1615
If they lose-14→ 1583
If they win+21→ 1667
If they lose-27→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
J.P. Saint LouisOualy Tandia