Oualy Tandia vs J.P. Saint Louis

DateOct 16, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueWintrust Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 16, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Fri 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 10:00 AM
Your time

Oualy Tandia5-0-0Oualy Tandia vs J.P. Saint LouisJ.P. Saint LouisToo Much |12-5-0

Oualy Tandia5-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

5-0-0Record12-5-0

24Age34

6'3"Height5'10"

78"ReachTBD

170 lbsWeight176 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

J.P. Saint LouisToo Much12-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

J.P. Saint Louis owns a 1-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Oualy Tandia and J.P. Saint Louis across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Oualy TandiaJ.P. Saint Louis

Recent form

Oualy TandiaW W W W W · +113 Elo last 5

WWWWW

J.P. Saint LouisW W W W W · +69 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Oualy Tandia1612+18 last move

J.P. Saint Louis1613+10 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

77%Oualy Tandia23%J.P. Saint Louis

Model favoriteOualy Tandia

Elo baseline50% for Oualy Tandia

Matchup adjustment+27 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Oualy TandiaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Oualy Tandia is 77%, after Elo alone favored J.P. Saint Louis at 50%.

Current Elo ratings1612 · 1613J.P. Saint Louis leads by 1 rating point.

Recent opponent quality1491 · 1497J.P. Saint Louis faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 17 fightsJ.P. Saint Louis has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Oualy TandiavsJ.P. Saint Louis

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Oualy TandiaKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

J.P. Saint Louissubmission leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Oualy TandiaJ.P. Saint Louis

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.67

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 1.33

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

3Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission8

2Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout3

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision2

Oualy Tandia vs J.P. Saint Louis is a scheduled Fight card fight on PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2. Oualy Tandia enters with a 5-0-0 record and J.P. Saint Louis enters with a 12-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.