J.P. Saint Louis vs Ozzy Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
176 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fusion X-Cel Performance· 1618 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1673 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
J.P. Saint LouisOzzy Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ozzy Diaz66%
J.P. Saint Louis 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ozzy Diaz a 66% favorite over J.P. Saint Louis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.
J.P. Saint Louis enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ozzy Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
J.P. Saint Louis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ozzy Diaz 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.