J.P. Saint Louis vs Teddy Ash
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
176 lbsWeight183 lbs
Fusion X-Cel Performance· 1623 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamShaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
J.P. Saint LouisTeddy Ash
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Teddy Ash55%
J.P. Saint Louis 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Teddy Ash a 55% favorite over J.P. Saint Louis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans J.P. Saint Louis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.
J.P. Saint Louis enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Teddy Ash enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
J.P. Saint Louis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Teddy Ash 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.