Jack Della Maddalena vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
73"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Jack Della Maddalena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Randy Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1791
If they lose-18→ 1759
If they win+13→ 1755
If they lose-11→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack Della MaddalenaRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Della Maddalena63%
Randy Brown 37%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Della Maddalena a 63% favorite over Randy Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jack Della Maddalena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1742, a 35-point edge.
Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Della Maddalena finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Jack Della Maddalena and Randy Brown share 1 common opponent: Kevin Holland.
Randy Brown carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.