Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Della Maddalena vs Shamil Musaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shamil Musaev
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Shamil Musaev

“Silent Assassin”

18-1-1WelterweightPFL

1780Great

Tale of the tape

18-4-0Record18-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack Della MaddalenaNow 1777
If they win+16→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1761
Shamil MusaevNow 1780
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
0.16
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.20
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jack Della MaddalenaShamil Musaev
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (11%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jack Della Maddalena and Shamil Musaev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1777 vs 1780), separated by just 3 points.

Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Della Maddalena finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Musaev 78%.

Jack Della Maddalena carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.