Jack Hermansson vs Joe Pyfer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record16-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamTeam Balance
What's at stake
Joe Pyfer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jack Hermansson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1734
If they lose-11→ 1710
If they win+14→ 1777
If they lose-18→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack HermanssonJoe Pyfer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Pyfer71%
Jack Hermansson 29%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Pyfer a 71% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Joe Pyfer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1721, a 42-point edge.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joe Pyfer 88%.
Jack Hermansson and Joe Pyfer share 1 common opponent: Kelvin Gastelum.
Jack Hermansson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.