Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters → 
Tale of the tape
24-10-0 Record 16-2-1
Middleweight Division Lightweight
6'1" Height 5'10"
77" Reach 74"
185 lbs Weight 155 lbs
Frontline Academy Team Uluu Kyrgyz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack Hermansson Myktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai67%
Jack Hermansson33%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 67% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1730), separated by just 9 points.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Myktybek Orolbai enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Jack Hermansson and Myktybek Orolbai share 1 common opponent: Chris Curtis.
Jack Hermansson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.