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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Hermansson vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record22-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack HermanssonNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Saygid IzagakhmaevNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
45%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
57%
Strike defense
59%
1.50
Takedown avg.
4
30%
Takedown accuracy
40%
81%
Takedown defense
100%
0.37
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jack HermanssonSaygid Izagakhmaev
17502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
6 (25%)
Submission
13 (59%)
7 (29%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Hermansson58%
Saygid Izagakhmaev 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 58% favorite over Saygid Izagakhmaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Saygid Izagakhmaev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1734), separated by just 2 points.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.

Jack Hermansson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.