Jack Hermansson vs Sean Strickland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jack Hermansson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1736
If they lose-9→ 1712
If they win+9→ 1832
If they lose-15→ 1808
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack HermanssonSean Strickland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Strickland79%
Jack Hermansson 21%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 79% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1721, a 102-point edge.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.
Jack Hermansson and Sean Strickland share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.