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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Hermansson vs Sean Strickland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jack Hermansson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jack HermanssonNow 1732
If they win+15→ 1747
If they lose-9→ 1723
Sean StricklandNow 1824
If they win+9→ 1833
If they lose-15→ 1809

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
57%
Strike defense
61%
1.50
Takedown avg.
0.71
30%
Takedown accuracy
64%
81%
Takedown defense
77%
0.37
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Jack HermanssonSean Strickland
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
6 (25%)
Submission
4 (13%)
7 (29%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Strickland71%
Jack Hermansson 29%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 71% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1824 to 1732, a 92-point edge.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.

Jack Hermansson and Sean Strickland share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2019
Jared Cannonier
LossDecision (split) · 2022