Jack Hermansson vs Tahir Abdullayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record20-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
77"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamPhuket Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack HermanssonTahir Abdullayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tahir Abdullayev73%
Jack Hermansson 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tahir Abdullayev a 73% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jack Hermansson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1720), separated by just 1 points.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tahir Abdullayev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tahir Abdullayev 90%.
Jack Hermansson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.