Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Jenkins vs Mike Thomas Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record26-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Absolute Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack JenkinsNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Mike Thomas BrownNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
61%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.45
59%
Strike defense
61%
1.98
Takedown avg.
3.23
20%
Takedown accuracy
40%
72%
Takedown defense
67%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Jack JenkinsMike Thomas Brown
1650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
3 (21%)
Submission
13 (50%)
5 (36%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Jenkins70%
Mike Thomas Brown 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Jenkins a 70% favorite over Mike Thomas Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Thomas Brown's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Mike Thomas Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Jenkins finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mike Thomas Brown 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.