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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Jenkins vs Ollie Sarwa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ollie Sarwa
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Ollie Sarwa

“Sweet and”

9-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1658Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record9-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"Reach-
145 lbsWeight139 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack JenkinsNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Ollie SarwaNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
61%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
1.98
Takedown avg.
Not available
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
72%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.17
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jack JenkinsOllie Sarwa
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (21%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (36%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Jenkins58%
Ollie Sarwa 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Jenkins a 58% favorite over Ollie Sarwa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1658), separated by just 0 points.

Jack Jenkins finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Sarwa 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.