Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Marshman vs Julien Leblanc

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-10-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Tillery Combat MMA AcademyTeamPatenaude Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack MarshmanNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Julien LeblancNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
0
26%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
20%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jack MarshmanJulien Leblanc
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
5 (22%)
Submission
4 (40%)
5 (22%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Julien Leblanc66%
Jack Marshman 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Julien Leblanc a 66% favorite over Jack Marshman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jack Marshman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Jack Marshman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Marshman finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Julien Leblanc 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.