Jack Marshman vs Trent Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Tillery Combat MMA AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jack MarshmanTrent Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Marshman68%
Trent Miller 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Marshman a 68% favorite over Trent Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.
Jack Marshman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Trent Miller enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jack Marshman finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Trent Miller 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.