Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackson McVey vs Jesse Forbes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Forbes
us

Jesse Forbes

“Kid Hercules”

15-5-0MiddleweightCB

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jackson McVeyNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Jesse ForbesNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.51
Sig. strikes / min
2.11
69%
Strike accuracy
24%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.06
24%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
1.79
0%
Takedown accuracy
75%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
1.20
Submission avg.
1.19

Trajectory

Jackson McVeyJesse Forbes
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
4 (50%)
Submission
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey75%
Jesse Forbes 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 75% favorite over Jesse Forbes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Jackson McVey enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jesse Forbes enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Forbes 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.