Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackson McVey vs Wes Schultz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Wes Schultz
us

Wes Schultz

“Party Time”

9-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Jackson McVey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Wes Schultz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jackson McVeyNow 1648
If they win+14→ 1662
If they lose-18→ 1630
Wes SchultzNow 1603
If they win+18→ 1621
If they lose-14→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.51
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
69%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.11
24%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
2.39
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
1.20
Submission avg.
3.59

Trajectory

Jackson McVeyWes Schultz
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
4 (50%)
Submission
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey83%
Wes Schultz 17%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 83% favorite over Wes Schultz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jackson McVey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1603, a 45-point edge.

Jackson McVey enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.