Jackson McVey vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamW4R Training Center
What's at stake
Zach Reese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jackson McVey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1646
If they lose-22→ 1598
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-17→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jackson McVeyZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jackson McVey and Zach Reese within a point of even.
Zach Reese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1620, a 24-point edge.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.