Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Malkoun vs Marvin Vettori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marvin Vettori
it

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-10-1MiddleweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
73"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
PMA Super Martial ArtsTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob MalkounNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Marvin VettoriNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
4.74
58%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.55
55%
Strike defense
56%
5.81
Takedown avg.
1.41
41%
Takedown accuracy
44%
33%
Takedown defense
69%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Jacob MalkounMarvin Vettori
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (47%)
7 (70%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Malkoun60%
Marvin Vettori 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Malkoun a 60% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1688), separated by just 2 points.

Jacob Malkoun enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jacob Malkoun finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.

Jacob Malkoun and Marvin Vettori share 1 common opponent: Brendan Allen.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Brendan Allen
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025