Jacob Pais vs Noah Hermosillo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record0-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
KAMICUOZZI MMA & FITNESSTeamAmerican Top Team Happy Valley
What's at stake
Jacob Pais is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Noah Hermosillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1551
If they lose-26→ 1503
If they win+26→ 1526
If they lose-22→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight EloTBD
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Pais60%
Noah Hermosillo 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Pais a 60% favorite over Noah Hermosillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jacob Pais holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1500, a 29-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.