Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Rosales vs Jae Hyun Park

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record7-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
CSWTeamKorean Zombie MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob RosalesNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Jae Hyun ParkNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.19
Sig. strikes / min
0
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
10.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
1.12
Takedown avg.
TBD
18%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.56
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jacob RosalesJae Hyun Park
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
2 (13%)
Submission
3 (43%)
6 (40%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Jae Hyun Park60%
Jacob Rosales 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jae Hyun Park a 60% favorite over Jacob Rosales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1581), separated by just 4 points.

Jacob Rosales finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jae Hyun Park 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.