Jacobe Smith vs Jon Fitch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-0-0Record32-8-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jacobe SmithJon Fitch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacobe Smith73%
Jon Fitch 27%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacobe Smith a 73% favorite over Jon Fitch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1741), separated by just 5 points.
Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jacobe Smith finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jon Fitch 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.