Jacobe Smith vs Josiah Harrell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-0-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamGrove City BJJ
What's at stake
Jacobe Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Josiah Harrell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1759
If they lose-19→ 1727
If they win+19→ 1696
If they lose-13→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jacobe SmithJosiah Harrell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacobe Smith77%
Josiah Harrell 23%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacobe Smith a 77% favorite over Josiah Harrell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jacobe Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1677, a 69-point edge.
Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Josiah Harrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jacobe Smith finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Josiah Harrell 91%.
Jacobe Smith carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.