Jacobe Smith vs Nicolas Dalby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record24-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRumble Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jacobe SmithNicolas Dalby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacobe Smith64%
Nicolas Dalby 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacobe Smith a 64% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1729), separated by just 5 points.
Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jacobe Smith finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Dalby 46%.
Nicolas Dalby carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.