Jacobe Smith vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
Jacobe Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1745
If they lose-21→ 1713
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-8→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jacobe SmithNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacobe Smith87%
Niko Price 13%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacobe Smith a 87% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Jacobe Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1623, a 111-point edge.
Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jacobe Smith finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Niko Price carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.