Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacobe Smith vs Preston Parsons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamElevate MMA

What's at stake

Jacobe Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Preston Parsons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jacobe SmithNow 1734
If they win+11→ 1745
If they lose-21→ 1713
Preston ParsonsNow 1610
If they win+21→ 1631
If they lose-11→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
68%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.12
48%
Strike defense
55%
7.78
Takedown avg.
3.53
0%
Takedown accuracy
37%
100%
Takedown defense
71%
0.71
Submission avg.
2.35

Trajectory

Jacobe SmithPreston Parsons
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Submission
9 (82%)
2 (17%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacobe Smith84%
Preston Parsons 16%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacobe Smith a 84% favorite over Preston Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Jacobe Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1610, a 124-point edge.

Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jacobe Smith finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Preston Parsons 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.