Jacobe Smith vs Sam Patterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-0-0Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'4"
72"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTeam Crossface
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jacobe SmithSam Patterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jacobe Smith and Sam Patterson within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1746), separated by just 0 points.
Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jacobe Smith finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Sam Patterson 93%.
Sam Patterson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.