JaCobi Jones vs Yehia Riles
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
JaCobi Jones61%
Yehia Riles 39%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes JaCobi Jones a 61% favorite over Yehia Riles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
JaCobi Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1560, a 46-point edge.
JaCobi Jones enters on a 2-fight win streak.
JaCobi Jones finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Yehia Riles 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record13-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Factory XTeamNola BJJ Westbank
What's at stake
JaCobi Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Yehia Riles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1620
If they lose-18→ 1588
If they win+18→ 1578
If they lose-14→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
JaCobi JonesYehia Riles