Yehia Riles vs JaCobi Jones

DateOct 2, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueMinot Air Force Base

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Fri 6:15 PM
US West (PT): Fri 3:15 PM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:15 PM
Central Europe: Sat 12:15 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 8:15 AM
Your time

Yehia RilesWestbank Warrior / Yaya |13-7-0Yehia Riles vs JaCobi JonesJaCobi JonesBig Toe |9-4-0

Yehia RilesWestbank Warrior / Yaya13-7-0

Fight Overview

Round5

Time5:00

13-7-0Record9-4-0

29Age30

5'7"Height5'10"

-ReachTBD

156 lbsWeight155 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

JaCobi JonesBig Toe9-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

JaCobi Jones owns a 6-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Yehia Riles and JaCobi Jones across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Yehia RilesJaCobi Jones

Recent form

Yehia RilesW W L W W · +43 Elo last 5

WWLWW

JaCobi JonesW L W W L · 0 Elo last 5

WLWWL

Elo edge

Yehia Riles1579+18 last move

JaCobi Jones1585+11 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

42%Yehia Riles58%JaCobi Jones

Model favoriteJaCobi Jones

Elo baseline51% for JaCobi Jones

Matchup adjustment+7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back JaCobi JonesStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

JaCobi Jones leads the full model at 58%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 7 points.

Current Elo ratings1579 · 1585JaCobi Jones leads by 6 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1479 · 1523JaCobi Jones faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth20 · 13 fightsYehia Riles has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Yehia RilesvsJaCobi Jones

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Yehia Rilessubmission leads 38% of wins

JaCobi Jonesdecision leads 44% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Yehia RilesJaCobi Jones

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

3Wins by knockout3

5Wins by submission2

5Wins by decision4

0Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission3

5Losses by decision1

Yehia Riles vs JaCobi Jones is a scheduled Fight card fight on FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE. Yehia Riles enters with a 13-7-0 record and JaCobi Jones enters with a 9-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.