Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacqueline Cavalcanti vs Josiane Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record10-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'3"
70"Reach 67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamStriker's House

What's at stake

Jacqueline Cavalcanti is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Josiane Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jacqueline CavalcantiNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-20→ 1651
Josiane NunesNow 1585
If they win+20→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.65
Sig. strikes / min
5.41
47%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.44
69%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
88%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jacqueline CavalcantiJosiane Nunes
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (70%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacqueline Cavalcanti80%
Josiane Nunes 20%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacqueline Cavalcanti a 80% favorite over Josiane Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Jacqueline Cavalcanti holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1585, a 86-point edge.

Josiane Nunes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Josiane Nunes 70%.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti and Josiane Nunes share 1 common opponent: Zarah Fairn.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Zarah Fairn
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023