Jacqueline Cavalcanti vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAltitude MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jacqueline CavalcantiRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacqueline Cavalcanti64%
Raquel Pennington 36%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacqueline Cavalcanti a 64% favorite over Raquel Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raquel Pennington's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1675), separated by just 4 points.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti and Raquel Pennington share 2 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira and Mayra Bueno Silva.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.