Combat Edge Intelligence

Jai Herbert vs Khama Worthy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jai Herbert

Jai Herbert

“The Black Country Banger”

14-6-1LightweightUFC

1674Good
Khama Worthy
us

Khama Worthy

“The Deathstar”

20-10-0Lightweight247

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-1Record20-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Renegade Jiu JitsuTeamThe Academy Pittsburgh

What's at stake

Jai Herbert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Khama Worthy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jai HerbertNow 1674
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-18→ 1656
Khama WorthyNow 1631
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.18
41%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
53%
Strike defense
46%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Jai HerbertKhama Worthy
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (15%)
3 (21%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Jai Herbert71%
Khama Worthy 29%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jai Herbert a 71% favorite over Khama Worthy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jai Herbert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1631, a 43-point edge.

Khama Worthy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jai Herbert finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Khama Worthy 70%.

Jai Herbert carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.