Jai Herbert vs Rolando Bedoya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renegade Jiu JitsuTeamChute Boxe
What's at stake
Jai Herbert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rolando Bedoya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-18→ 1656
If they win+18→ 1640
If they lose-14→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jai HerbertRolando Bedoya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jai Herbert66%
Rolando Bedoya 34%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jai Herbert a 66% favorite over Rolando Bedoya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jai Herbert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1622, a 52-point edge.
Rolando Bedoya enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jai Herbert finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Bedoya 50%.
Jai Herbert carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.